Democracy in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters

Natural disasters have been linked to a higher risk of violent conflict, but some studies find that negative shocks in rainfall, which could indicate drought disasters, can create a window of-opportunity that makes democratization more likely. This study investigates whether actual natural disasters are associated with changes in democracy. We find a significantly positive relationship, but only among countries with an intermediate regime type, and among countries that are already politically unstable and that receive humanitarian aid.

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